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Hoe onzeker is de toekomst, of hoe is de toekomst onzeker?

Trefwoorden future, uncertainty, strategy, governance, organization
Auteurs Prof. dr. Martijn van der Steen
DOI

Prof. dr. Martijn van der Steen
  • Samenvatting

      The future is inherently uncertain. No certain statements can be made about the future. This means that policy and management always have to deal with long-term ‘future uncertainty’. However, it does matter how we name uncertainty; what words we use for it. What kind of uncertainty do we mean when we talk about uncertainty in policy processes and management? The same applies to the type of preparation for uncertainty that we choose. The question ‘are we prepared’ can also be answered in different ways. In this contribution we identify a variety of types of uncertainty and types of ways of dealing with uncertainty, based on the text of my Inaugural Speech delivered in 2016. I then discuss how these questions have been translated into research and education and which next steps I foresee for myself in the – although inherently uncertain – near future.

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